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No shortage of sugar in India, retail prices to come down soon: ISMA | Economy & Policy News

No shortage of sugar in India, retail prices to come down soon: ISMA | Economy & Policy News


The Indian Sugar and Bio-Energy Manufacturers Association (Isma), the apex body of private sugar millers, on Monday asserted that there is no shortage of sugar in the country and retail prices are expected to come down over the next 7-10 days following steps taken by the government in the past few days. 


Prices have risen due to various factors, including speculative buying by traders and bulk consumers, as well as lower production caused by adverse weather conditions, Isma President Niraj Shirgaokar said at a press conference. 


He said sugar production would be sharply augmented in October, with 1 million tonne (mt) of sugar expected to be produced, against the normal 0.4-0.5 mt, once mills begin crushing early under the government’s direction. 

 


The Isma president also categorically said mills were not involved in creating an artificial scarcity or pushing up ex-mill prices.


“India’s sugar balance remains fundamentally comfortable, with net sugar production for 2025-26 estimated at around 27.9 mt against domestic consumption of around 28-28.5 mt, and projected closing stocks of around 3.5 mt,” Shirgaokar said. 


With the sugarcane crushing season expected to be advanced by 10-15 days to mid-October from early November, along with special crushing operations currently underway in Tamil Nadu and Karnataka, Isma expects October sugar production to rise to 1 million tonnes from the usual 0.4 mt. 


“This additional domestic production, together with existing stocks and calibrated releases, should help ease the current pressure as festive buying normalises,” Isma Vice-President Madhav B Shriram said. He added that prices had started to ease following the government’s decision to allow duty-free imports of 1 mt of raw sugar and would weaken further over the next 7-10 days. Demand in October is expected to be 2.4-2.5 mt, he added.

 


Govt lifts export ban on wheat, related products


 


The government on Monday lifted the export ban on wheat and its products with immediate effect, a move that is expected to ease the availability of the commodity in the international market. The Russia-Ukraine war has affected the global wheat supply chain. India, the world’s second-largest wheat producer, banned wheat exports in May 2022 as part of measures to control rising domestic prices.


 


The government has also removed the export ban on wheat flour and other products such as maida, semolina, and wholemeal atta, according to notifications issued by the Directorate General of Foreign Trade. “The export policy of wheat….is revised from prohibited to free with immediate effect,” one of the notifications stated. In February, the government had allowed exports of 2.5 million tonnes of wheat.


 


Food Secretary Sanjeev Chopra stated in April that India’s wheat production for the 2025-26 crop year is likely to be between 110 and 120 million tonnes, following crop damage from unseasonal rainfall and hailstorms in key growing states. The Roller Flour Millers’ Federation of India has projected wheat output at 110.65 million tonnes for this year, slightly above the 109.63 million tonnes produced in 2024-25, after factoring in recent weather damage. The government had a wheat stock of 22.2 million tonnes as of March 31, against a requirement of 7.5 million tonnes.

 

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