Flash composite PMI up at 61.7 in May, job creation strongest in 18 years | Economy & Policy News

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Flash composite PMI up at 61.7 in May, job creation strongest in 18 years | Economy & Policy News


Aided by an acceleration in the demand for the country’s dominant services sector, private sector activity in May, as measured by the headline flash composite PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index), rose to 61.7 compared with a downward revised figure of 61.5 in April.


According to the survey released by HSBC on Thursday, the index measuring the month-on-month change in the combined output of India’s manufacturing and service sectors was inside growth territory for the 34th consecutive month.


“When explaining the latest increase, survey participants cited successful advertising, efficiency gains, robust intakes of new work, and demand strength. Services firms recorded a sharp increase in business activity, the steepest in four months, while factory production rose at the slowest pace since February,” the survey noted.

Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC, said that the composite PMI ticked up further in May, recording the third strongest reading in close to 14 years, supported by a sharp acceleration in the service sector as manufacturing sector growth slowed slightly in May, driven by a slowdown in new orders and production.


“However, the rise in output in the manufacturing industry continued to surpass that in the service economy. Additionally, the latest data showed strength in new export orders for both sectors, which rose at the fastest pace since the series started in September 2014. The level of optimism about the year ahead increased to its highest in over 11 years, resulting in firms increasing their staffing levels. However, higher input costs in both sectors led to further margin squeezes, particularly for service providers,” she added.


On the employment front, the survey noted that persistently strong increases in new orders underpinned job creation across the private sector as employment has been rising on a monthly basis throughout the past two years, with May seeing the rate of expansion quicken to the sharpest since September 2006.


“Another factor that supported the growth of headcounts was an intensification of capacity pressures. Combined across the manufacturing and service sectors, outstanding business volumes rose to the greatest extent in 21 months. In addition to taking on extra staff as a result of rising backlogs, Indian manufacturers also purchased additional materials for use in production processes,” the survey noted.


The survey also noted that amid reports of higher labour and material costs, input prices across the private sector rose at the fastest pace in nine months. There were mentions that prices for chemicals, food, plastics, electronic components, and electrical items had risen.

The Flash PMI records 75-85 per cent of the total 800 Purchasing Managers’ Index survey responses by services and manufacturing firms received each month. The final manufacturing PMI headline figure for the month of May will be released on June 3 and is projected to slide to 58.4. The services and composite PMI will be released on June 5.

Composite PMI Output Index


Flash

Final

 

Jan

61

61.2

Feb

61.5

60.6

March

61.3

61.8

April

62.2

61.5

May

61.7




Source: HSBC

 

First Published: May 23 2024 | 4:18 PM IST

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